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Switzerland: Navigating through uncertainty

Reading Time: 3 minutes

As a small, open economy, Switzerland has been highly exposed to recent global developments including swings in external demand, major changes in international trade policies and geopolitical uncertainty. The economy has weathered these shocks well: Inflation and unemployment are low and public finances are sound. But growth has been below trend since 2024, falling short of the annual average growth rate of 1.8% of the previous decade. Bolstering growth and resilience will hinge on building stronger ties with key trading partners, but also on forging new trade partnerships. This will lay the grounds for diffusing productivity growth beyond export-oriented sectors and firms.

by Priscilla Fialho and Adolfo Rodriguez-Vargas, OECD Economics Department

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Measuring the macroeconomic cost of climate change from the ground up

Reading Time: 4 minutes

New OECD analysis combines granular local climate damages with a global spatial model to estimate how heat, floods, shifting crop yields and sea-level rise affect future aggregate economic activity, taking into account key trade, migration and production networks.

By Diogo Baptista, Hélia Costa and Filiz Unsal, OECD Economics Department

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Person in grocery shop looking at receipt.

What do card data reveal about the impact of energy and food shocks on European consumers’ “everyday spending”?

Reading Time: 4 minutes

Energy and food shocks have impacted consumer spending in recent years. A new dataset of aggregated and anonymised monthly payment card spending for 12 European countries shows how these shocks led to weak growth of “everyday spending” by consumers with shifts across spending categories and important regional differences.

By Juergen Amann (OECD Centre for Entrepreneurship, SMEs, Regions and Cities), Sebastian Barnes and David Haugh (OECD Economics Department) and Luis Monteiro and Sidharth Goel (Mastercard Economics Institute)

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How can Hungary address fiscal challenges and support inclusive growth?

Reading Time: 4 minutes

Population ageing and climate change will strain Hungary’s public finances. The 2026 Economic Survey of Hungary sets out recommendations to rebuild fiscal space and lift growth. The budget and medium-term fiscal plan that the new government is preparing will provide key opportunities to start addressing these challenges.

by Pierre-Alain Pionnier and Michaël Sicsic, OECD Economics Department

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Strengthening public finances as a pillar of prosperity in the Slovak Republic

Reading Time: 4 minutes

The Slovak Republic’s public debt is on track to rise from 61% of GDP in 2025 to over 100% of GDP by 2040 without further action. Consolidation should rely mainly on expenditure control and a strengthened fiscal framework. Crucially, fiscal adjustment should be combined with structural reforms that raise employment: doing so halves the fiscal consolidation required to reduce debt while boosting growth.

by Boris Cournède, OECD Economics Department

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Keeping cool: adapting France to a hotter climate and increasing climate-related risks

Reading Time: 4 minutes

The recent, and recurrent, heatwaves across France and Europe are a reminder that climate change is already affecting people’s health, businesses’ productivity and the country’s infrastructure. Strengthening prevention will be essential to limit losses, but adaptation must go hand in hand with faster emissions reductions.

by Nikki Kergozou, OECD Economics Department

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Dalla resilienza alla crescita sostenuta: come l’Italia può fare leva sul PNRR per affrontare le sfide future

Reading Time: 6 minutes

L’economia italiana ha dimostrato una notevole resilienza di fronte ai principali shock esterni di questo decennio, ma i redditi sono cresciuti meno che in altri  Paesi dell’OCSE e nuove e significative sfide si profilano all’orizzonte. L’Indagine Economica OCSE sull’Italia 2026 delinea le priorità per affrontarle, rafforzare le finanze pubbliche e aumentare la produttività e i redditi.

Tim Bulman and Emilia SoldaniOECD Economics Department

English version

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United Kingdom: Rebuilding fiscal space amid rising spending pressures

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Rising spending demands from population ageing, healthcare, the climate transition and defence are placing growing pressure on the UK’s public finances. Rebuilding fiscal space will require a combination of fiscal discipline and structural reforms that strengthen growth and support fiscal sustainability.

Nicolas Gonne and Daniela Glocker, OECD Economics Department

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Steering the next phase of the Slovak Republic’s economic convergence

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Slovakia’s successful export‑driven growth model is under pressure from global shifts, technological change, and a weakening productivity trend. Sustaining convergence will require structural reforms to improve the business climate, boost innovation, and address skills gaps.

By Erik Frohm, OECD Economics Department

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